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Cyber Monday 2010 Sets New Record for Highest Single-Day Online Sales

December 1, 2010 by Tom Funk

ComScore announced that 2010′s Cyber Monday grew 16% from a year ago, tallying record-breaking online sales of over $1 billion.

While Black Friday is still the shopping event of the bricks-and-mortar world, Cyber Monday — the first Monday after Thanksgiving — has increasingly become a major event for online retailers, who prime the pump with major promotions, sales, email campaigns and advertising blitzes.

“Cyber Monday was a historic day for e-commerce as we saw daily spending surpass $1 billion for the first time,” said comScore chairman Gian Fulgoni. “The online holiday shopping season has clearly gotten off to a very strong start, which is welcome news. At the same time, it’s important to note that some of the early strength in consumer spending is almost certainly the result of retailers’ heavier-than-normal promotional and discounting activity at this early point in the season. So, while we anticipate that there will be more billion-dollar spending days ahead as we get deeper into the season, only time will tell if overall consumer online spending remains at the elevated levels we’ve seen thus far.”

Of the total 16% gain, comScore attributed most of the lift — 12% — to an increase in average order size. The remaining 4% sales growth was due to an increase in total online shoppers. Source: comScore

2010 Holiday Season To Date vs. Corresponding Days* in 2009
Non-Travel (Retail) Spending
Excludes Auctions and Large Corporate Purchases
Total U.S. – Home/Work/University Locations
Source: comScore, Inc.

Millions ($)
2009 2010 Percent Change
November 1 – 29 $12,008 $13,553 13%
Thanksgiving Day (Nov. 25) $318 $407 28%
Black Friday (Nov. 26) $595 $648 9%
Weekend (Nov. 27-28) $805 $886 10%
Cyber Monday (Nov. 29) $887 $1,028 16%
Filed Under: Blog, Timberline Marketing Center

5 Powerful Tactics for E-commerce

October 12, 2010 by Tom Funk

Okay, time for Tom Funk to take a deep breath. I’ve spent the better part of each day since September 8′s introduction of Google Instant, panicking, gnashing my teeth, tearing my hair, rending my garments and dodging chunks of falling sky.

Search is an important source of lifeblood to any commercial website. Until now, I’ve always felt Google did an exemplary job in letting relevant results, from little guys and big guys alike, bubble up to the surface of search.

Now, Google Instant and its predictions bias search against the long-tail, against the little guy. We now have less a web of discovery, and more a web of trend-following, big-name brands, and some repetition of your personal user history. Google Instant is the tyranny of the majority, where nobody finds anything without seeing a little eBay, Facebook, or Lady Gaga first.

But it’s time for me to look beyond Google Instant for a moment, and recognize what matters most to ecommerce marketers and site owners. There’s plenty of stuff we can control. Let’s stop fretting about what we can’t.

1. Brand positioning. Visitors coming to your site from whatever source must immediately “get” — both through the look-and-feel and from a clear “positioning statement” or slogan — who you are, what you do, and why that’s a benefit to them.

2. Guarantee. Offer a strong, unconditional guarantee, be conspicuous about it. Stand behind it. It’s a selling point, not some hidden legalese boilerplate.

3. Checkout optimization. Shop your own site with an eye toward removing roadblocks, eliminating unnecessary forms and fields, cleaning up the look, adding confidence-building logos of your security, shipping and credit card partners. And enable a friendly, low-key abandoned cart email program.

4. Testing. Use Google Website Optimizer to test any significant offer, merchandise selection, navigational or design element. You’ll not only prove that your ideas were awesome, you’ll quantify just how awesome they were. Or, as is often the case, you’ll prove some ideas just don’t move the needle. No worries. That’s valuable too. Imagine you find that a $10-off deal doesn’t lift conversion any better than a pitch that emphasizes five-star customer ratings, which doesn’t cost you a nickel. Cha-ching!

5. Customer retention. Far more important that how much search-engine traffic you can capture, is what do you do to convert visitors to customers — and to build a long-term relationship with those customers so they come back to buy again and again. Today’s best tool for retention is still a generous, creative, and smartly segmented email program. That’s been the case since the dawn of ecommerce, and some 89% of merchants still say email is their highest-ROI channel. But social media is fast becoming the new customer relationship channel. If you’re not active now on Twitter, Facebook, Foursquare, Groupon, and wherever else your customers are spending their online time, your customer retention efforts are behind the curve.

Full disclosure: I’m a Google shareholder. Yup, I have 10 bright, shiny Google shares. So I’ll totally be at the annual meeting in Mountain View, doing the secret handshake with Larry, Sergey, Eric, Matt, Marissa, and the rest of the gang.

But even with that massive financial conflict-of-interest, you can always count on me to be 100% objective in my assessment of Google.

Filed Under: Blog, Timberline Marketing Center

The Power of Personalized Online Ads

September 29, 2010 by Tom Funk

My friend and colleague Andy Dunn was struck yesterday by the extreme personalization being done by Zappo’s, the now Amazon-owned shoe retailer. Andy had been checking out sneakers at Zappo’s and then left without buying.

Later, thanks to Zappo’s remarketing campaigns across a broad swath of third-party websites, Andy began seeing Zappo’s display ads everywhere — and the ads cycled dynamically through images of the very same products he’d been browsing at the Zappo’s site.

Dotomi, an ad platform, claims personalized remarketing campaigns like these can lift response 34% when compared to ordinary ads not customized to individual users. Dotomi and others have rolled out a slew of personalized products including direct text messaging, ads that address the shopper by name, and other tactics that might make George Orwell roll in his grave, but which many online merchants just love.

For merchants interested in learning more, the DMA is sponsoring a November 3 webinar entitled “The Future of Media Is Personal”, in which Dotomi COO and CMO Ken Treske will talk about the power of personalized remarketing ads and other media tailored to specific web users.

Filed Under: Blog, Timberline Marketing Center

Holiday 2010 eCommerce Sales Forecast Calls for 15% Growth

September 22, 2010 by Tom Funk

Here’s a long overdue dose of good news: 2010 online Holiday sales are forecast to climb a healthy 15% compared to last year.

Research and consulting firm Deloitte expects ecommerce, along with direct-mail catalog sales and TV shopping channels, to notch the big gains. Overall retail sales, which are still dominated by bricks-and-mortar stores, are expected to rise a mere 2%.

Deloitte’s Alison Paul told Internet Retailer that the strongest results will be delivered by retailers that coordinate their online efforts with mobile, social-media and bricks-and-mortar.

“We believe that the retailers that have integrated marketing messages where their apps, Facebook pages, web site and in-store presences share a common campaign or theme will be the big winners this holiday season,” she said.

Filed Under: Blog, Timberline Marketing Center

Gap’s Groupon Campaign Grosses $11 Million

August 27, 2010 by Tom Funk

Gap’s 50%-discount offered on the collective-buying site Groupon last week rang up a reported $11 million in sales, says ClickZ, and in the process demonstrated some best practices for ecommerce in this new, more social Web 2.0 era.

According to Groupon spokesperson Julie Mossler, the Gap offer was the most successful Groupon promotion to date, ringing up as many as 532 transactions per minute during its busiest periods Thursday morning. Traffic was so intense that Groupon had to manage the load by directing visitors to alternate landing pages in order to avert a server crash.

What I find impressive about the Gap campaign is the sheer number of coordinated moving parts cross-promoting a single offer:

  • 15 million Gap and Groupon email subscribers receive the offer, starting at midnight and in staggered fashion throughout the day
  • The offer is tweeted to the 180,000+ followers of Twitter’s @earlybird promoted tweet stream
  • Gap tweets the offer to its 30,000+ followers
  • Groupon manually tweets and Facebook posts on its pages dedicated to each of the 85 geographical markets where Gap’s offer is valid
  • Gap posts the offer to its 606,000 fans on Facebook
  • Groupon’s 1,500 affiliate partners post Gap’s offer on their websites
  • A sponsored post appears above the fold on Digg

All in all, it sounds like a big win for Gap, and impressive evidence of how online promotion and social shopping, courtesy of Groupon, can drive sales to brick and mortar stores.

“Our customers had been asking us to feature a national retailer, and the Gap deal was a perfect fit for Back-To-School and even pre-holiday shopping,” Mossler explained. “Gap even has stores where Groupon hasn’t launched yet; so, it’s a perfect way to reach new and existing Groupon fans with a deal they won’t find anywhere else.”

Filed Under: Blog, Timberline Marketing Center

Tracking ROI for Social Media Is Marketers’ Biggest Stumbling Block, Survey Finds

August 25, 2010 by Tom Funk

According to a new poll, a whopping 72% of brand managers say that while Social Media offers great potential to reach existing customers and prospects, they lack tools and information to conduct a successful Social Media program.

The poll, conducted by Harris Interactive for the agency Buddy Media, reported tracking or measuring ROI to be the number one thorn in marketers’ sides.

The survey also found surprisingly few big companies have stepped up to the plate with Facebook programs. Facebook has now surpassed 500 million users worldwide, making it the largest and fastest-growing communication platform in the world. Yet only one-third of large companies (revenues above $100M) are currently using Facebook.

Here are the leading social media stumbling blocks reported by marketers:

Obstacles in Using Social Media to Reach Local Market Customers
Obstacle % of Respondents Agreeing
Tracking or measuring success or ROI 48%
Managing information 45%
Engaging audience 42%
Identifying influencers to carry brand message 39%
Keeping specific content fresh 32%
Posting multimedia content 28%
Tracking real time metrics 24%
Finding creative for online social marketing 23%
Tools to customize content anywhere 22%
Source: Buddy Media / Harris Interactive, August 2010
Filed Under: Blog, Featured, Timberline Marketing Center Tagged With: analytics, marketing, social media

The 9 Most Common Google Analytics Mistakes

August 22, 2010 by Tom Funk

We’ve been doing a lot of Google Analytics audits, debugging and configuration. It’s a crucial time for ecommerce merchants to be thinking about the state of their web analytics, and the correctness of the data. Weak though the ecomony may be, the dog days are summer are quickly giving way to fall/holiday (or should we say “Fall-iday?”).

Of course, back-to-school merchandising has been in full swing for a couple months. This weekend when I popped into the supermarket for some milk, I was blown away to see full displays of Halloween candy. Consumers may not have to fall and winter months in mind yet, but hopeful merchants are all over it.

If your analytics are configured incorrectly, you’ll be without a proper roadmap for assessing what your current baseline looks like, and what aspects of your Holiday season campaigns and merchandising are successful and which are not. Even worse, bad data may make you draw completely wrong conclusions — taking credit for internally-placed test orders, say, or classifying paid search traffic and sales as organic. If you can’t properly tie online revenues to their source, you’re bound to terminate some successful campaigns and perpetuate some dogs.

So here’s our list of the most frequently seen Google Analytics configuration errors — and how to fix them:

1.) Failing to tag paid search campaigns. Google can let you employ “autotagging” to effortlessly track whether your Google search traffic (and sales) is paid or organic. But paid campaigns at Bing, Yahoo, and third-tier search engines will look like free, organic traffic unless you use campaign tracking links to tell GA otherwise.

2.) Failing to track email. The house email is the biggest-yielding channel for most ecommerce merchants. If you don’t use campaign-tracking codes, you’ll have no easy way to track the total revenue contribution of your house email, or its effect on your total conversion rate. It’s also imperative to track your Abandoned Cart email and other transactional emails as a separate class of email campaign. We use utm_medium = email to tag all emails, and utm_source to discriminate which list is being sent, and whether it is from our transactional or promotional email programs.

3.) Failing to filter internal traffic and test orders. Everything from conversion rate to raw revenue numbers can be rendered meaningless if your web team or IT department places a lot of test orders without setting up an exclude filter. You can still maintain an “all traffic” profile — so that you can SEE the results of tests you need to place, for instance! — but set up at least one profile filtering out internal IP addresses. That way you’ll know what the REAL top and bottom lines are.

4.) Failing to track on-site search. Not all web platforms are engineered to display the search term in the URL of the results page, but most are. GA provides a basic reporting of top search terms, and the overall share of users who use on-site search, and how much business they do (almost always well above your site average). There’s no native reporting of no-results-found, but it’s a start — and a vital insight into one of the most important merchandising tools on your site. Plus, without baselining your site’s current on-site search metrics, you’ll have no way to gauge whether an advanced third-party search like SLI is worth the money.

5.) Overreporting on-site search. Some website owners like to configure internal links on their site, or landing pages from paid search or email, as search results pages, rather than having to build special category pages or static landing pages. That can be smart merchandising, but if you do it, also set up an additional profile or “advanced segment” to exclude visitors by medium. Otherwise you’ll be overstating your on-site search usage, and probably understating conversion rate.

6.) Overusing profiles. Now, virtually all of the functions of separate analytics profiles can be played by Advanced Segments. Setting up advanced segments is pretty easy, they’re convenient to apply or unapply to any report you’re working with, and they save you the hassle of setting up the same goals and other settings across a ton of different profiles.

7.) Setting up the shopping cart funnel one page too late. The shopping cart should be the first page of your conversion funnel, NOT the check-out page. When we say a 50% cart abandonment rate is about the industry average, we’re talking about the opposite of funnel conversion rate, if you start at the shopping cart. The later you start your funnel, the more falsely inflated your numbers will be. The cart is a critical page to track in the funnel, because it also tells you your engagement rate (or the percent of site visitors who add anything to the cart). And it tracks the performance of the first page of the checkout — which, along with the final step, when consumers have to actually part with their moolah — is one of the hardest transitions in ecommerce.

8.) Failing to test. Web analytics are not just stale numbers — they’re calls to action to solve shoppers’ problems, make the online experience easier, more compelling, faster, better. Anybody who has been doing ecommerce awhile knows that their best hunches and marketing instincts should be tested and quantified to see what (if any) lift they provide. So using analytics to baseline your performance, and then the Google Website Optimizer testing tool (or the A/B testing features in Adwords) enables you to prove your instincts right or wrong. We never stop learning at this game!

9.) The “Site Overlay” report. Don’t worry, it’s not your fault. Google Analytics’ Site Overlay report just sucks. It doesn’t work. I’ve never seen it work. It combines the stats of any duplicate links on the page, and the data is always screwy. If you want a better view of how web shoppers are actually responding to your navigational and merchandise offerings, you need to use a good, inexpensive third-party tool loke CrazyEgg or ClickTale.

Filed Under: Blog, Timberline Marketing Center

13 Reasons Consumers Follow Brands or Companies on Twitter

August 19, 2010 by Tom Funk

Exact Target just released results of their survey of 1,500 consumers to identify the main reasons they might follow a brand or company Twitter feed — and what other online behaviors the most active Twitterers demonstrate, including brand mentions, ratings and reviews, and word-of-mouth (or word-of-mouse) product recommendations to friends.

Some of the findings are unremarkable. It comes as no surprise, say, that active Twitter users are also more likely to blog about a product or write an online review.

What I thought was interesting was the array of reasons Twitter users cited for following a brand or company:

Get updates on future products 38%
Stay informed about company activities 32%
Receive discounts and promotions 31%
Get updates on upcoming sales 30%
Ger free samples, coupons, etc 28%
For fun or entertainment 26%
Get access to exclusive content 25%
Learn more about company 25%
Show support to company to others 23%
Share ideas, provide feedback 20%
For education about company topics 14%
Recommended 14%
Get direct message from company 10%
Filed Under: Blog, Timberline Marketing Center Tagged With: social media, twitter

Facebook Fan Valuation

August 17, 2010 by Tom Funk

Looking to put a value on a Facebook fan? First, let’s agree the value of social media, of creating strong and sincere connections with your best customers and evangelists, is NOT about a number.

That said, I can’t resist the question. Thanks to the rapid growth of social media, and the low cost for businesses to get involved, most companies have waded into social media experimentally, without doing any return-on-investment forecasting.

But doing social correctly takes both time, effort, creativity, and some money — whether it be investments in staff, technology, or advertising spend. eMarketer reported US companies will spend 24% more on advertising on social networks this year, for a total of $1.7 billion

The cost of an ambitious social media program is still miles below what we’re accustomed to paying for paid search, professional SEO, or even email (traditionally the least expensive, highest-ROI online marketing channel). But as social-media budgets rise, so does the need, company-wide, to track the return on that investment.

How do we do it?

First, recognize that for most companies and organizations, your social media program is not primarily a customer acquisition channel. It is more of a loyalty/retention channel. Unless you’re doing a viral campaign to attract fans and followers to an inherently entertaining or cause-driven social media group, I’ll bet your online community is made up mostly of your hard-core, existing customers. They’re people who learned about your fan page thanks to the Facebook icon in your emails or on your website, or by Facebook Connect functionality built into your site).

They’re people who want to deepen their connection with you. Maybe they want to stay up to date with your latest news or deals, maybe they see your social site as an additional channel for customer service inquiries or even complaints.

Certainly there’s value to cementing a stronger and more personal relationship with your best customers. But what is it?

Recently, Syncapse published a case study entitled The Value of a Facebook Fan: An Empirical Review (PDF). Among the findings:

  • People who become “fans” of a brand spend on average $71.84 more per year than non-fans
  • Fans are 28% more likely to continue using the brand
  • Fans are 41% more likely to recommend the brand to others

You probably see the logical flaw here. What came first, the chicken of the egg? Did the act of “friending” cause the buying behavior, or did preexisting strong brand loyalty inspire the friending? Or is there no causal link at all? As they say in statistics, “correlation does not imply causation.” In other words, we cannot conclude that vacationing in the Hamptons boosts your 401-K, or wearing Lacoste makes you a good tennis player. These things may be associated with one another, without having a direct cause-and-effect relationship.

I believe Facebook fans have both a direct and an indirect value for your company. First, direct value:

  1. You should already know an estimated lifetime value for a customer. Let’s say it is $500.
  2. You should also already know the average acquisition cost of a new customer. Call it $35.
  3. Assuming your Facebook fanbase demonstrates a higher annual order value, you can calculate the lift in lifetime value.
  4. Track new customers originating from Facebook and compare their acquisition cost, which will range from zero (for word-of-mouth referrals) to whatever you may be spending to attract customers via social media advertising. Ideally, your Facebook activities will be lowering your average customer-acquisition cost.
  5. Using campaign tracking links, you can follow the total and per-fan reveneues driven from your fan page
  6. If you establish a Facebook store, divide its total revenues by the fanbase

Now for the intangibles:

The social media platform company Vitrue performed a different analysis, calculating the “alternate media value” of all the positive brand mentions and buzz posted by fans on social media. Aggregated and divided by fans across its platform, Vitrue arrived (voila!) at the magic number of $3.60 per fan.

Another valuable but difficult to measure benefit of a social media presence is external links. The more people are talking about you and sharing links about you, the better. While Facebook is not a crawlable source of external links, the gool old blogosphere still is. And a strong presence in social media cannot be limited to Facebook and Twitter — it must carry over into blogs, ratings and reviews sites, and other crawlable, people-powered, social sites.

So, to further calculate the value of a Facebook fan, benchmark your external links. If they are going up, year-over-year, and so is your Facebook fanbase and so is your SEO revenue, it’s fair to attribute some of the increasing SEO revenues to your presence in social media. Divide the value across your fanbase.

But for now, the short answer? Let’s just add Syncaps and Vitrue’s numbers and call it a day:

A Facebook fan is worth $75.44. :)

Filed Under: Blog, Timberline Marketing Center Tagged With: Facebook, social media

10% of Visitors Use On-Site Search

July 20, 2010 by Tom Funk

We’ve recently been enabling Google Analytics site-search tracking for a number of CommerceV3 website clients.

It’s always fruitful to see what people are searching for on your site, how frequently they buy and what they spend. Users of on-site search tend to be higher-converting and have higher AOV than non-users.

Avinash Kaushik’s 2006 post on optimizing on-site search is still quite relevant. One thing Avinash finds is a roughly 10% benchmark for site search usage, i.e. the fraction of all visitors who use your site search. I’ve always thought 10% is a low number, but it does align with what we have seen for a number of different websites over the years.

One perspective to add is that someone who abandons a website after a single page view (i.e., bounce rate) can’t possibly use on-site search. So if you subtract your bounce rate (say 35%) from the total visitors, and then calculate on-site search usage, you get a truer ratio — more like 15% of all visitors who stick around for more than one page.

Filed Under: Blog, Timberline Marketing Center Tagged With: Google analytics

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